Nobody knows … Just a quick follow-up to the earlier report on what appears to be the evolving thinking regarding the top QB prospects in this week’s draft. In that piece we suggested that there appears to be something of consensus around the league that QBs Caleb Williams and Jayden Williams are legit potential elite franchise players whereas Drake Maye and JJ McCarthy, while still considered to be good prospects, aren’t necessarily viewed as special candidates. That said, we wanted to restate that in fact in the end nobody really knows how these guys are going to fare once they get to the NFL. In fact, there are 6 good QB prospects who will be available on Thursday. How good? Well, the 6 include 2 Heisman trophy winners, the two leading passers in college football over the past couple of seasons and the leader of the undefeated national champions. And just for the record, the 6th guy actually has the best natural physical tools of the bunch. In the end, the odds are that 2-3 of those guys will turn out to be very good NFL players, 2-3 will be jags, and 2-3 will be busts. And the reality is that nobody in the NFL can tell with any more accuracy than if they were throwing darts at a dart board which of those guys are going to end up being which. Remember as recently as last year, for example, that if we had polled all 32 NFL GMs whether they’d take Bryce Young or CJ Stroud, it probaby would have been near unanimous for Young. Indeed, its very likely that Stroud wouldn’t have even got more than a few second place votes. But he had the terrific year and looked all the part of a franchise QB while Young struggled mightily. What’s it all mean? Hard to know other than maybe don’t over think the thing!
